Presentation Type

Oral Presentation

Keywords

Leftist, Right Wing, Terrorism, Econometrics, Vector Auto-Regression, Granger Causality, Impulse Response Functions

Department

Economics

Major

Economics

Abstract

This paper assesses whether there is causality between Left-Wing and Right-Wing Terrorist attacks in the United States. A Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) Model is estimated for the two variables. A Granger Causality test and Impulse Response Functions are examined to understand the relationship between the two variables. Both terrorist attacks appear to Granger Cause each other, but an analysis of the Impulse Response Functions reveals that Right-Wing Terrorism yields a stronger response from Left-Wing groups than Left-Wing terrorism does from Right-Wing groups. Nonetheless, there are strong elements of causality and response between the two groups.

Faculty Mentor

Paul Jones

Funding Source or Research Program

Summer Undergraduate Research Program

Presentation Session

Session B

Location

BPC 189

Start Date

23-3-2018 3:45 PM

End Date

23-3-2018 4:00 PM

Included in

Econometrics Commons

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Mar 23rd, 3:45 PM Mar 23rd, 4:00 PM

Left-Wing and Right-Wing Terrorism in the United States

BPC 189

This paper assesses whether there is causality between Left-Wing and Right-Wing Terrorist attacks in the United States. A Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) Model is estimated for the two variables. A Granger Causality test and Impulse Response Functions are examined to understand the relationship between the two variables. Both terrorist attacks appear to Granger Cause each other, but an analysis of the Impulse Response Functions reveals that Right-Wing Terrorism yields a stronger response from Left-Wing groups than Left-Wing terrorism does from Right-Wing groups. Nonetheless, there are strong elements of causality and response between the two groups.